Eredivisie | Gameweek 17

Jan 14, 2024 at 1.30pm UK

GelreDome

Vitesse
0 - 0
Utrecht

Kozlowski (43')

Elkarouani (59')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and FC Utrecht, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Vitesse

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Vitesse 1-0 Heerenveen
Thursday, December 21 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

FC Utrecht

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Feyenoord 2-1 Utrecht
Wednesday, December 20 at 8pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Vitesse 0-1 FC Utrecht

Utrecht are on a significantly better run of results heading into this one and will fancy their chances of getting the job done. We can see the away side coming out on top, albeit by only a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Vitesse	Draw	FC Utrecht
48.81% ( 0.29)	23.94% ( 0.05)	27.25% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 57.32% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.57% (

-0.48)

44.43% (

0.48)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.2% (

-0.47)

66.8% (

0.47)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.68% (

-0.08)

18.31% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.6% (

-0.13)

49.4% (

0.13)

FC Utrecht Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.17% (

-0.5)

29.83% (

0.5)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.09% (

-0.61)

65.91% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Vitesse 48.81%

FC Utrecht 27.25%

Draw 23.93%

Vitesse	Draw	FC Utrecht
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.81%	1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.25%