UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Ghelamco Arena

Gent
4 - 0
Molde

Hjulsager (52'), Godeau (62'), Kums (80'), Cuypers (89' pen.)
Hjulsager (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Risa (28'), Fjortoft Lovik (83'), Eriksen (90+3')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Gent and Molde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gent

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Leuven 1-1 Gent
Sunday, October 30 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League

Goals
for

Molde

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Viking FK 1-4 Molde
Sunday, October 30 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Goals
for

Gent will be frustrated after being forced to share the points with Shamrock Rovers last week and should be very motivated to secure the win required to qualify for the knockout stages. Molde know they only need a draw to advance the next round of the Europa Conference League, but after a capitulation at home to Djurgardens last week the occasion may get the better of the Norwegian side once again in this crucial match in Belgium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 46.98%. A win for Gent had a probability of 32.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.8%) and 2-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Gent win was 2-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
Gent	Draw	Molde
32.46% ( -0.15)	20.57% ( 0.01)	46.98% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 73.51% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.23% (

-0.09)

24.77% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.38% (

-0.12)

44.61% (

0.12)

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.14% (

-0.11)

16.86% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.12% (

-0.2)

46.87% (

0.2)

Molde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.41% (

0.01)

11.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.44% (

0.02)

36.55% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Gent 32.46%

Molde 46.98%

Draw 20.57%

Gent	Draw	Molde
2-1 @ 6.67% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.1% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.13% Total : 32.46%	1-1 @ 7.5% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 20.57%	1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 5.17% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.26% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 3.13% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.78% 0-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.2% Other @ 4.05% Total : 46.98%