UEFA Conference League

Europa Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 9, 2023 at 7pm UK

GHELAMCO-arena

Gent
5 - 0
Szczecin

(Gent win 6-2 on aggregate)

Orban (13', 35', 64'), Cuypers (40', 45+1')
Torunarigha (41'), Emo Agbor (51')

FT(HT: 4-0)

Malec (29'), Gamboa (50')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Europa Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Gent and Pogon Szczecin.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Pogon Szczecin had a probability of 24.23% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.63%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Pogon Szczecin win was 1-2 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gent would win this match.

Result
Gent	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
53.27%	22.5%	24.23%

Both teams to score 59.25%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.49%

40.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.11%

62.89%

Gent Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.76%

15.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.08%

43.92%

Pogon Szczecin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.9%

30.1%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.76%

66.24%

Score Analysis

Gent 53.27%

Pogon Szczecin 24.23%

Draw 22.49%

Gent	Draw	Pogon Szczecin
2-1 @ 9.75% 1-0 @ 8.63% 2-0 @ 8.12% 3-1 @ 6.11% 3-0 @ 5.09% 3-2 @ 3.67% 4-1 @ 2.87% 4-0 @ 2.39% 4-2 @ 1.73% 5-1 @ 1.08% Other @ 3.84% Total : 53.27%	1-1 @ 10.36% 2-2 @ 5.85% 0-0 @ 4.59% 3-3 @ 1.47% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.49%	1-2 @ 6.22% 0-1 @ 5.51% 0-2 @ 3.31% 1-3 @ 2.49% 2-3 @ 2.34% 0-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 3.04% Total : 24.23%