Europa League

Europa League | Playoffs | 1st Leg

Aug 18, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Ferencvaros
4 - 0
Shamrock

(Ferencvaros win 4-1 on aggregate)

Auzqui (13'), Traore (34', 48'), Civic (90+3')
Auzqui (27'), Knoester (45+2')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hoare (14'), Grace (49'), Farrugia (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Ferencvaros and Shamrock Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ferencvaros

Last Game: Ferencvaros 1-3 Qarabag FK
Tuesday, August 9 at 7pm in Champions League

Shamrock Rovers

Last Six:

Last Game: Derry 0-0 Shamrock
Friday, August 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Shamrock Rovers	25	23	53
2	Dundalk	26	20	49
3	Derry City	25	18	45

We said: Ferencvaros 2-0 Shamrock Rovers

While Shamrock can claim to be in good form and be playing under less pressure on Thursday evening, the better quality is in Ferencvaros' ranks. Although we anticipate a competitive contest, the home side should come through with the victory, potentially with a clean sheet to boot. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 47.65%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.88%) and 3-1 (5.84%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 1-2 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.

Result
Ferencvaros	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
47.65% ( 0.03)	21.78% ( 0)	30.56% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 67.63% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.08% (

-0.04)

31.92% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.53% (

-0.04)

53.47% (

0.04)

Ferencvaros Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.98% (

-0)

14.02% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.43% (

-0.01)

41.57% (

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.66% (

-0.04)

21.34% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.7% (

-0.06)

54.3% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Ferencvaros 47.65%

Shamrock Rovers 30.56%

Draw 21.78%

Ferencvaros	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 4.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.22% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0) Other @ 3.74% Total : 47.65%	1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) Other @ 0.5% Total : 21.78%	1-2 @ 7.01% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.62% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.55% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 30.56%