Europa League

Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Aug 10, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadion Bijeli Brijeg

Zrinjski Mostar
6 - 2
Breidablik

(Zrinjski Mostar win 6-3 on aggregate)

Kis (2', 30'), Malekinusic (21', 40'), Bilbija (33'), Ivancic (55')
Jakovljevic (69'), Senic (87')

FT(HT: 5-0)

Logi Ludviksson (64'), Eyjolfsson (74')
Karl Einarsson (25')
Karl Einarsson (31')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Breidablik, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Zrinjski Mostar

Last Game: Slovan Bratislava 2-2 Zrinjski Mostar
Tuesday, August 1 at 7.30pm in Champions League

Breidablik

Last Game: Copenhagen 6-3 Breidablik
Wednesday, August 2 at 7pm in Champions League

We said: Zrinjski Mostar 1-1 Breidablik

Given the nerves that will be on show for this fixture, we expect a tense first leg. Zrinjski are in the better form when taking everything into consideration, yet we feel that the visitors will do enough to earn a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 56.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Breidablik had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a Breidablik win it was 1-2 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski Mostar would win this match.

Result
Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	Breidablik
56.98% ( -0.05)	21.76% ( 0.02)	21.27% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.84% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.44% (

-0.05)

40.56% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.06% (

-0.06)

62.94% (

0.06)

Zrinjski Mostar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.94% (

-0.03)

14.06% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.36% (

-0.07)

41.64% (

0.07)

Breidablik Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.3% (

-0)

32.7% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.74% (

-0)

69.25% (

Score Analysis

Zrinjski Mostar 56.98%

Breidablik 21.27%

Draw 21.75%

Zrinjski Mostar	Draw	Breidablik
2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.85% 3-1 @ 6.47% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.79% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.21% Total : 56.98%	1-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.6% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.75%	1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 21.27%