Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Parken

Denmark
2 - 1
Slovenia

Maehle (26'), Delaney (54')
Norgaard (32')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Janza (30')
Elsnik (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Denmark and Slovenia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Denmark

All competitions

Last Game: San Marino 1-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	8	11	19
2	Denmark	8	10	19
3	Kazakhstan	8	3	15
4	Finland	8	3	12
5	Northern Ireland	8	-2	6
6	San Marino	8	-25	0

Slovenia

All competitions

Last Game: N. Ireland 0-1 Slovenia
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group H Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Slovenia	8	11	19
2	Denmark	8	10	19
3	Kazakhstan	8	3	15
4	Finland	8	3	12
5	Northern Ireland	8	-2	6
6	San Marino	8	-25	0

Denmark have been far from convincing throughout this qualification campaign, as shown during the fixture with San Marino. Nevertheless, home advantage could prove key on Friday, leading us to predict a hard-fought victory over their group rivals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Denmark win with a probability of 62.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Slovenia had a probability of 15.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Denmark win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.23%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Slovenia win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Denmark in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Denmark.

Result
Denmark	Draw	Slovenia
62.88% ( -2.16)	21.87% ( 0.62)	15.24% ( 1.54)

Both teams to score 46.13% (

1.84)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.53% (

0.43)

50.46% (

-0.44)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.6% (

0.38)

72.39% (

-0.39)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.52% (

-0.56)

15.47% (

0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.65% (

-1.04)

44.34% (

1.04)

Slovenia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.57% (

2.52)

45.42% (

-2.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.73% (

1.92)

81.27% (

-1.92)

Score Analysis

Denmark 62.87%

Slovenia 15.24%

Draw 21.87%

Denmark	Draw	Slovenia
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.49) 2-0 @ 12.23% ( -0.71) 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.6) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.55% ( -0.35) 4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.15) 5-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.05% Total : 62.87%	1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.35) 0-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.31) Other @ 0.68% Total : 21.87%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.41) 0-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1% ( 0.15) Other @ 1.35% Total : 15.24%