Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Poland5 - 1Estonia
FT(HT: 1-0)
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Poland 2-0 Latvia
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
We said: Poland 4-0 Estonia
To say that Estonia earned a golden ticket to the Euro 2024 playoffs would be an understatement, and the gulf in quality between the two clubs should be apparent from the get-go. The visitors may have pulled off a giant killing of Poland 12 years ago, but with the Eagles recently proving to be an unbeatable force at home in Euros qualifiers, a straightforward passage to the final should await the hosts on Thursday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 70.77%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Estonia had a probability of 9.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.6%) and 3-0 (10.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Estonia win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
Result | ||
Poland | Draw | Estonia |
70.77% ( 0.61) | 19.71% ( -0.12) | 9.52% ( -0.49) |
Both teams to score 36.25% ( -1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.52% ( -0.77) | 54.47% ( 0.77) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.16% ( -0.65) | 75.83% ( 0.65) |
Poland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.72% ( -0.06) | 14.27% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.93% ( -0.11) | 42.06% ( 0.11) |
Estonia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
42.29% ( -1.49) | 57.71% ( 1.49) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.56% ( -0.84) | 89.43% ( 0.84) |
Score Analysis |
Poland 70.74%
Estonia 9.52%
Draw 19.71%
Poland | Draw | Estonia |
1-0 @ 16.03% ( 0.44) 2-0 @ 15.6% ( 0.4) 3-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 5.57% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.7% Total : 70.74% | 1-1 @ 8.82% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 8.24% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.16) Other @ 0.3% Total : 19.71% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.32% Total : 9.52% |
How you voted: Poland vs Estonia
Poland
88.7%Draw
8.0%Estonia
3.3%150
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 10:14:47
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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