FA Cup | First Round Replays
Nov 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Derby1 - 3Crewe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Derby 3-0 Barnsley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Notts County
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Derby County 2-0 Crewe Alexandra
From staring down the barrel of defeat to a straightforward path into the second round of the FA Cup, Derby County ought to use home advantage and their recent goalscoring exploits to their advantage on Tuesday. Crewe's League Two record offers the Railwaymen some hope of a successful evening, but Bell's side will surely be made to pay for their late collapse in the opening fixture as Derby set up a second-round battle with Bristol Rovers. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 14.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Crewe Alexandra win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
66.5% ( 0) | 19.22% ( 0.01) | 14.28% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.29% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59% ( -0.06) | 40.99% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.61% ( -0.06) | 63.38% ( 0.06) |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.55% ( -0.02) | 11.45% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.73% ( -0.04) | 36.27% ( 0.03) |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.05% ( -0.06) | 40.95% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.49% ( -0.05) | 77.51% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Derby County 66.49%
Crewe Alexandra 14.28%
Draw 19.22%
Derby County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-0 @ 11.01% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 10.16% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 3-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 4.31% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.87% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.72% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 66.49% | 1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 19.22% | 0-1 @ 4.19% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.87% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 1.66% Total : 14.28% |
How you voted: Derby vs Crewe
Derby County
83.3%Draw
8.3%Crewe Alexandra
8.3%48
Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 2.45pm
First Round
Crewe
2-2
Derby
Baker-Richardson (41'), Nevitt (54')
Mendez-Laing (89'), Hourihane (90+3')
Jan 14, 2006 3pm
Sep 11, 2005 3pm
Apr 5, 2005 3pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 10:53:19
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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