FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 8, 2022 at 12.45pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 2
Crystal Palace

Afobe (17')
Mitchell (56')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Olise (46'), Mateta (58')
Schlupp (26'), Butland (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Millwall and Crystal Palace, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Millwall 1-2 Crystal Palace (a.e.t)

Millwall may sense an opportunity for an upset here given Palace's AFCON absentees, but the Eagles still have the talent in the front line to help them avoid an early exit. Eze and Olise will be out to make statements of intent during their time to shine, but Palace's dire form away from home and Millwall's strength at The Den means that extra time could very well be required. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 37.41%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (9.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Crystal Palace in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Crystal Palace.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Crystal Palace
36.58%	26%	37.41%

Both teams to score 54.23%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.82%

50.17%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.86%

72.14%

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.41%

26.59%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.18%

61.81%

Crystal Palace Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.88%

26.12%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.81%

61.19%

Score Analysis

Millwall 36.58%

Crystal Palace 37.41%

Draw 26%

Millwall	Draw	Crystal Palace
1-0 @ 9.2% 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 6.09% 3-1 @ 3.61% 3-0 @ 2.69% 3-2 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.2% Other @ 3.19% Total : 36.58%	1-1 @ 12.35% 0-0 @ 6.95% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.33% 1-2 @ 8.29% 0-2 @ 6.26% 1-3 @ 3.71% 0-3 @ 2.8% 2-3 @ 2.46% 1-4 @ 1.25% 0-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.39% Total : 37.41%