FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-2 Sunderland
Despite the visitors being likely to make plenty of changes for their cup tie, we expect Sunderland to have too much strength-in-depth for Shrewsbury, who have seen their form significantly dip in recent outings.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 54.89% . A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 20.61% .
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.81% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.56%) and 1-2 (9.57%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.6%) , while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-0 (7.04%) . The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Sunderland in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sunderland.
Result Shrewsbury Town Draw Sunderland 20.61% ( -0.01) 24.5% ( -0.01) 54.89% ( 0.01)
Both teams to score 48.12% ( 0)
47.02% ( 0.01) 52.98% ( -0.01)
25.42% ( 0.01) 74.58% ( -0.01)
59.58% ( -0) 40.42% ( 0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 22.96% ( -0) 77.04% ( 0)
80.78% ( 0.01) 19.22% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 49.08% ( 0.02) 50.92% ( -0.02)
Shrewsbury Town 20.61%
Sunderland 54.88%
Draw 24.49%
Shrewsbury Town Draw Sunderland 1-0 @ 7.04% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.59% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.31% 3-0 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 1.27% Total : 20.61% 1-1 @ 11.6% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 24.49% 0-1 @ 12.81% 0-2 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0) 0-3 @ 5.81% ( 0) 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.38% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.94% Total : 54.88%
How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Sunderland
Shrewsbury Town
Draw
Sunderland
26
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 01:41:31
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