FA Cup

FA Cup | First Round

Nov 5, 2022 at 3pm UK

Edgeley Park

Stockport
4 - 0
Swindon

Sarcevic (11', 29'), Wright (16'), Rydel (58')
Brown (79')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Khan (1'), Hutton (29'), Reed (88')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Stockport County and Swindon Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stockport County

All competitions

Last Game: Tranmere 0-0 Stockport
Tuesday, November 1 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Swindon Town

All competitions

Last Game: Mansfield 2-5 Swindon
Saturday, October 29 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Stockport County 2-1 Swindon Town

Both sides are in great form so we are expecting a tightly-contested affair at Edgeley Park. Stockport have been impressive defensively in recent weeks, and we think that could be the difference here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.03%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.

Result
Stockport County	Draw	Swindon Town
48.03% ( -0.02)	24.51% ( 0)	27.46% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 55.56% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.18% (

46.82% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.92% (

69.08% (

-0.01)

Stockport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.43% (

-0)

19.56% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.52% (

-0.01)

51.48% (

Swindon Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.08% (

0.01)

30.92% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.78% (

0.01)

67.21% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Stockport County 48.03%

Swindon Town 27.46%

Draw 24.51%

Stockport County	Draw	Swindon Town
1-0 @ 9.87% ( -0) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.02% 4-1 @ 2.1% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.23% Other @ 3.01% Total : 48.03%	1-1 @ 11.58% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.51%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0) Other @ 2.93% Total : 27.46%