Barcelona

3 - 3

Man City

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 41.74%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 2-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.