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Gil Vicente logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 20, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos
Maritimo

Gil Vicente
1 - 1
Maritimo

Lino (45+5' pen.)
Talocha (19'), Lino (44'), Aburjania (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Joel (39')
Costa (14'), Costa (51'), Pelagio (90+4')

Preview: Gil Vicente vs. Maritimo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Gil Vicente and Maritimo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Seeking to pick up their fourth win in five games on the road, Maritimo take a trip to the Estadio Cidade de Barcelos to face Gil Vicente in round 27 of the Primeira Liga on Sunday.

The Gilistas, meanwhile, are unbeaten in 11 games on the trot and will be looking to complete a league double over the visitors having picked up a 2-1 victory in October's reverse fixture.


Match preview

Gil Vicente's Samuel Lino celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on February 2, 2022© Reuters

High-flying Gil Vicente continue to make their mark in the Primeira Liga this season as they claimed a hard-fought 1-0 victory away to Braga last Sunday.

It was late drama at the Estadio Braga Municipal as 26-year-old defender Henrique Gomes came off the bench in the 88th minute to grab the winner barely one minute later.

Ricardo Soares's men head into the weekend unbeaten 11 games on the spin, claiming seven wins and four draws since a 3-0 home loss against defending champions Sporting Lisbon on December 18.

While they have been decent in front of goal, Gil Vincente's fine run has been owing to their defensive sturdiness as they have kept six clean sheets and just seven goals in those 11 outings.

With 45 points from 26 games, the Gilistas are currently fifth in the Primeira Liga standings, nine points above Vitoria de Guimaraes just outside the Conference League qualification spot and just one off fourth-placed Braga.

Gil Vicente players Rodrigao and Denis challenge for the ball in July 2020© Reuters

Maritimo, on the other hand, were denied a second consecutive victory last time out when they fell to a 1-0 home loss at the hands of Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Following an uneventful first half at the Estadio do Maritimo, substitute Nicolas Janvier came up clutch for the visitors as he scored the only goal of the game with eight minutes remaining on the clock.

Prior to that, Vasco Seabra's side claimed a 1-0 win at Moreirense on March 6, when Matheus Costa netted in the 30th minute to snap their two-game winless run.

Maritimo have now won eight, drawn eight and lost 10 of their 26 games in the Primeira Liga this season to collect 32 points and occupy eighth place in the standings.

However, O Maior das Ilhas will feel confident in their chances of returning to winning ways on Sunday given their recent form on the road as they have won four of their last five away games

Gil Vicente Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Maritimo Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • L


Team News

Gil Vicente's Samuel Lino in action in December 2020© Reuters

Gil Vicente will take to the pitch without the services of Murilo de Souza after the Brazilian forward picked up an Achilles tendon injury in January's game against Boavista.

Having missed six straight games through injury, Ziga Frelih made his return to action against Braga last weekend and the 24-year-old to start between the sticks once again.

Meanwhile, Maritimo head into Sunday's game with a clean bill of health and no suspension concerns, giving Seabra the luxury of a full-strength squad at his disposal.

Despite their defeat against Vitoria de Guimaraes last time out, the Portuguese manager should name a similar side, meaning we could see a defensive quartet of Claudio Winck, Matheus Costa, Zainadine Junior and Vitor Costa shielding Paulo Victor in goal.

Ali Alipour will push for a starting role in attack, potentially coming in for Cameroonian international Joel Tagueu, who struggled to make his mark against Os Vimaranenses.

Gil Vicente possible starting lineup:
Frelih; Carlos, Cunha, Fernandes, Talocha; Carvalho, Pedrinho; Fujimoto, Leautey, Lino; Navarro

Maritimo possible starting lineup:
Victor; Winck, M Costa, Junior, V Costa; Rossi, Beltrame; Guitane, Xadas, Vidigal; Alipour


SM words green background

We say: Gil Vicente 2-1 Maritimo

Gil Vicente are currently one of the most in-form sides in the division, claiming seven wins and four draws in their last 11 games. However, they face the tricky test of going up against a Maritimo side who have been solid away from home in recent weeks, claiming 12 points from the last 15 available. While we expect the visitors to put up a fight, we predict the Gilistas will keep their fine run going and come out victorious.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 53.36%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.81%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Gil Vicente vs Maritimo

Gil Vicente
57.1%
Draw
42.9%
Maritimo
0.0%
7
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8pm
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2pm
 
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Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
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Spain
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Friday, June 21
 
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Group A

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1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

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1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

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1 Denmark Denmark00000
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3 Serbia Serbia00000
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1 Austria Austria00000
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Group E

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Group F

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3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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