Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Varda SE win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for MTK had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Varda SE win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest MTK win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Varda SE would win this match.

Result
Varda SE	Draw	MTK
38.14% ( -0.01)	25.74% ( 0.02)	36.11% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.09% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.94% (

-0.07)

49.06% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.86% (

-0.06)

71.13% (

0.06)

Varda SE Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.79% (

-0.04)

25.2% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.06% (

-0.05)

59.94% (

0.05)

MTK Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.66% (

-0.04)

26.33% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.52% (

-0.05)

61.47% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Varda SE 38.14%

MTK 36.11%

Draw 25.74%

Varda SE	Draw	MTK
1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.41% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 2.61% Total : 38.14%	1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.74%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.91% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.63% 2-3 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 36.11%