International Friendly

Nov 9, 2022 at 8pm UK

Soldier Field

Mexico
4 - 0
Iraq

Vega (4'), Funes Mori (48'), Gallardo (67'), Uriel (90+2' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's International Friendlies clash between Mexico and Iraq, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Mexico 2-3 Colombia
Wednesday, September 28 at 3am in International Friendlies

Next Game: Mexico vs. Sweden
Wednesday, November 16 at 7.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	0	0	0
2	Mexico	0	0	0
3	Poland	0	0	0
4	Saudi Arabia	0	0	0

Iraq

Last Game: Syria 0-1 Iraq
Monday, September 26 at 4pm in International Friendlies

Next Game: Iraq vs. Ecuador
Saturday, November 12 at 12am in International Friendlies

Neither team have been convincing since the end of qualifying, but El Tri have faced much more formidable opponents, while Iraq are in a transitional phase looking to develop its next generation, so we will give the experienced Mexicans the edge. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Iraq had a probability of 15.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.19%) and 2-1 (8.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.21%), while for a Iraq win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Mexico would win this match.

Result
Mexico	Draw	Iraq
57.53% ( 0.07)	26.5% ( -0.02)	15.97% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 36.09% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.09% (

0.01)

64.9% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.18% (

0.01)

83.82% (

-0.01)

Mexico Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77% (

0.04)

22.99% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.2% (

0.05)

56.8% (

-0.05)

Iraq Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

46.86% (

-0.06)

53.13% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

13.26% (

-0.04)

86.73% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Mexico 57.52%

Iraq 15.97%

Draw 26.49%

Mexico	Draw	Iraq
1-0 @ 17.96% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 57.52%	0-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 11.35% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 26.49%	0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.21% Total : 15.97%