International Friendly

Oct 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio La Rosaleda

Qatar
2 - 0
Guatemala

FT(HT: 2-0)

Data Analysis

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Qatar and Guatemala.

Form, Standings, Stats

Qatar

All competitions

Last Game: Chile 2-2 Qatar
Tuesday, September 27 at 6pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Colombia	3	4	9
2	Argentina	3	0	4
3	Paraguay	3	-1	2
4	Qatar	3	-3	1

Guatemala

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Honduras 2-1 Guatemala
Wednesday, September 28 at 2am in International Friendlies

Current Group C Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Trinidad and Tobago	3	4	7
2	Mexico	3	6	5
3	Cuba	3	-7	3
4	Guatemala	3	-3	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Qatar win with a probability of 43.95%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Guatemala had a probability of 27.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Qatar win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.77%) and 2-1 (8.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a Guatemala win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Qatar would win this match.

Result
Qatar	Draw	Guatemala
43.95% ( 0.07)	28.33% ( -0.01)	27.72% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 44.49% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.77% (

61.23% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.83% (

81.16% (

-0.01)

Qatar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.27% (

0.04)

27.73% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.7% (

0.05)

63.3% (

-0.05)

Guatemala Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.57% (

-0.05)

38.43% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.81% (

-0.04)

75.18% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Qatar 43.94%

Guatemala 27.72%

Draw 28.32%

Qatar	Draw	Guatemala
1-0 @ 13.66% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.58% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( 0) Other @ 1.73% Total : 43.94%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 10.65% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.32%	0-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.58% Total : 27.72%