Friendlies 1

Mar 26, 2024 at 8.30pm UK

Estadio Olimpico de Sevilla

Spain
3 - 3
Brazil

Rodri (12' pen., 87' pen.), Olmo (36')
Le Normand (34'), Laporte (42'), Carvajal (51')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Rodrygo (40'), Endrick (50'), Paqueta (90+6' pen.)
Guimaraes (42'), Bruno (50'), Paqueta (58'), Endrick (78'), Pereira (85'), Beraldo (90+3')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Spain

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: Spain 0-1 Colombia
Friday, March 22 at 8.30pm in International Friendlies

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	8	20	21
2	Scotland	8	9	17
3	Norway	8	2	11
4	Georgia	8	-6	8
5	Cyprus	8	-25	0

Brazil

All competitions

International Friendlies

Last Game: England 0-1 Brazil
Saturday, March 23 at 7pm in International Friendlies

Current CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Argentina	6	6	15
2	Uruguay	6	8	13
3	Colombia	6	3	12
4	Ecuador	6	2	11
5	Venezuela	6	3	9
6	Brazil	6	1	7
7	Paraguay	6	-2	5
8	Chile	6	-4	5
9	Bolivia	6	-10	3
10	Peru	6	-7	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spain win with a probability of 56.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Brazil had a probability of 20.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11%), while for a Brazil win it was 0-1 (6.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Spain	Draw	Brazil
56.42% ( 0.03)	23.14% ( -0.03)	20.43% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.23% (

0.13)

47.77% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.04% (

0.12)

69.96% (

-0.12)

Spain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.27% (

0.06)

16.73% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.36% (

0.1)

46.64% (

-0.1)

Brazil Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.37% (

0.07)

37.63% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.59% (

0.08)

74.4% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Spain 56.42%

Brazil 20.43%

Draw 23.14%

Spain	Draw	Brazil
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.68% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.07% Total : 56.42%	1-1 @ 11% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.14%	0-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 20.43%