Uzbekistan
4 - 2
Uganda

Masharipov (35'), Shomurodov (39', 55', 72')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Miya (53'), Okwi (78')
Sserwadda (2'), Lwaliwa (32'), Kyambadde (61')

Data Analysis

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the International Friendlies International Friendly clash between Uzbekistan and Uganda.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uzbekistan

Last Game: Uzbekistan 4-2 Uganda
Tuesday, March 29 at 3pm in International Friendlies

Uganda

Last Six:

Last Game: Uganda 1-1 Niger
Wednesday, June 8 at 2pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Next Game: Uganda vs. Tanzania
Sunday, September 18 at 11pm in Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Egypt	3	5	9
2	Uganda	3	0	4
3	Congo DR	3	0	3
4	Zimbabwe	3	-5	1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Uzbekistan win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Uganda had a probability of 25.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Uzbekistan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Uganda win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Uzbekistan would win this match.

Result
Uzbekistan	Draw	Uganda
49.54%	25.08%	25.38%

Both teams to score 51.95%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.27%

50.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.37%

72.62%

Uzbekistan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.51%

20.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.03%

52.97%

Uganda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.34%

34.66%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.61%

71.39%

Score Analysis

Uzbekistan 49.53%

Uganda 25.38%

Draw 25.07%

Uzbekistan	Draw	Uganda
1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 9.46% 2-0 @ 8.92% 3-1 @ 5% 3-0 @ 4.72% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.98% 4-0 @ 1.87% 4-2 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.65% Total : 49.53%	1-1 @ 11.92% 0-0 @ 7.1% 2-2 @ 5.01% 3-3 @ 0.94% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.07%	0-1 @ 7.53% 1-2 @ 6.32% 0-2 @ 3.99% 1-3 @ 2.23% 2-3 @ 1.77% 0-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 2.14% Total : 25.38%