MX23RW : Wednesday, June 12 11:45:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Gamba Osaka
J1 League | Gameweek 11
May 3, 2023 at 6am UK
Nishigaoka National Stadium

Gamba Osaka
1 - 2
Cerezo

Dawhan (56')
Jebali (33'), Meshino (52'), Usami (64')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Ceara (28'), Kato (90')
Matsuda (22')
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Gamba Osaka and Cerezo Osaka.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Kashima Antlers 4-0 Gamba Osaka
Saturday, April 29 at 11am in J1 League
Last Game: Cerezo 0-1 Hiroshima
Saturday, April 29 at 6am in J1 League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerezo Osaka win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Gamba Osaka had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cerezo Osaka win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cerezo Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba OsakaDrawCerezo Osaka
31.3% (-0.865 -0.86) 27.49% (0.32 0.32) 41.21% (0.545 0.55)
Both teams to score 48.49% (-1.233 -1.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43% (-1.431 -1.43)57% (1.432 1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.1% (-1.157 -1.16)77.9% (1.157 1.16)
Gamba Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.62% (-1.347 -1.35)33.38% (1.348 1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.99% (-1.505 -1.51)70.01% (1.507 1.51)
Cerezo Osaka Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (-0.37 -0.37)27.2% (0.372 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (-0.486 -0.49)62.62% (0.487 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Gamba Osaka 31.3%
    Cerezo Osaka 41.21%
    Draw 27.49%
Gamba OsakaDrawCerezo Osaka
1-0 @ 9.96% (0.179 0.18)
2-1 @ 7.12% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-0 @ 5.47% (-0.104 -0.1)
3-1 @ 2.6% (-0.178 -0.18)
3-0 @ 2% (-0.114 -0.11)
3-2 @ 1.69% (-0.135 -0.14)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 31.3%
1-1 @ 12.97% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 9.08% (0.487 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.63% (-0.189 -0.19)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.49%
0-1 @ 11.82% (0.52 0.52)
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 7.7% (0.257 0.26)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.05 -0.05)
0-3 @ 3.34% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 41.21%

Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 11am
gameweek 22
Gamba Osaka
1-2
Cerezo
Kyung-won (17')
Kyung-won (73')
Yamada (52'), Patric (90')
Matsuda (11')
May 21, 2022 6am
gameweek 14
Cerezo
3-1
Gamba Osaka
Taggart (58'), Okuno (66', 90+4')
Yamami (33')
Okuno (53'), Dawhan (82')
Aug 28, 2021 11am
gameweek 27
Gamba Osaka
0-1
Cerezo
Matsuda (51')
May 2, 2021 7am
gameweek 12
Cerezo
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Nakajima (74')
Patric (82' pen.)
Alves (62')
Nov 3, 2020 5am
gameweek 24
Cerezo
1-1
Gamba Osaka
Toyokawa (34')
Jonjic (51')
Ideguchi (32')
Young-gwon (4'), Patric (51'), Miura (78'), Fukuda (79'), Suganuma (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Friday, June 14
 
8pm
Saturday, June 15
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 16
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 17
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 18
 
5pm
Wednesday, June 19
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Thursday, June 20
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
 
2pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!