Gamba have distanced themselves from any immediate fears of a relegation battle with a good run of form recently, and the hosts will be confident of extending their unbeaten streak on Sunday. Kashiwa have struggled enormously in the J League for over two months, and this weekend could finally be the time that they drop into the relegation zone. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gamba Osaka win with a probability of 52.48%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gamba Osaka win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Kashiwa Reysol win it was 0-1 (8.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gamba Osaka would win this match.

Result
Gamba Osaka	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
52.48% ( -0.06)	26.12% ( 0.02)	21.4% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 44.72%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.97% (

-0.03)

58.03% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.29% (

-0.02)

78.71% (

0.02)

Gamba Osaka Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.77% (

-0.04)

22.23% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.35% (

-0.06)

55.65% (

0.06)

Kashiwa Reysol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.5% (

0.03)

42.49% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.14% (

0.03)

78.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Gamba Osaka 52.47%

Kashiwa Reysol 21.4%

Draw 26.11%

Gamba Osaka	Draw	Kashiwa Reysol
1-0 @ 14.2% 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.47%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( 0) Other @ 0.61% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 1.07% Total : 21.4%