Kashima Antlers

2 - 1

Sagan Tosu

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashima Antlers win with a probability of 59.09%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 18.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kashima Antlers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.04%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Sagan Tosu win it was 0-1 (6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashima Antlers would win this match.