Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 46.91%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 24.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
24.94% ( -0.99)	28.15% ( -0.15)	46.91% ( 1.14)

Both teams to score 43.05% (

-0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.93% (

-0.07)

62.07% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.21% (

-0.05)

81.79% (

0.05)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.65% (

-0.93)

41.35% (

0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.13% (

-0.84)

77.86% (

0.83)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

0.55)

26.6% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

0.72)

61.82% (

-0.72)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 24.94%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 46.91%

Draw 28.14%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 5.68% ( -0.19) 2-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.21) 3-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.21% Total : 24.94%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.14%	0-1 @ 14.56% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 4.26% ( 0.2) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.86% Total : 46.91%