Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vissel Kobe win with a probability of 39.06%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 34.64% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vissel Kobe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Vissel Kobe in this match.

Result
Sagan Tosu	Draw	Vissel Kobe
34.64% ( -0.08)	26.3% ( 0.11)	39.06% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 53.06% (

-0.37)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.4% (

-0.47)

51.6% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.62% (

-0.41)

73.38% (

0.41)

Sagan Tosu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.57% (

-0.27)

28.43% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.82% (

-0.35)

64.19% (

0.35)

Vissel Kobe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.13% (

-0.23)

25.87% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.15% (

-0.32)

60.85% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Sagan Tosu 34.64%

Vissel Kobe 39.06%

Draw 26.29%

Sagan Tosu	Draw	Vissel Kobe
1-0 @ 9.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 7.87% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 34.64%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.29%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.06%