Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 60.13%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Shonan Bellmare had a probability of 17.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.78%), while for a Shonan Bellmare win it was 0-1 (5.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima in this match.

Result
Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
60.13% ( 1.15)	22.76% ( -0.53)	17.12% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 47.43% (

0.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.16% (

1.17)

50.84% (

-1.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.27% (

1.02)

72.73% (

-1.02)

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.47% (

0.82)

16.52% (

-0.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.72% (

1.45)

46.27% (

-1.45)

Shonan Bellmare Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.81% (

-0.07)

43.18% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.55% (

-0.06)

79.45% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Sanfrecce Hiroshima 60.12%

Shonan Bellmare 17.12%

Draw 22.75%

Sanfrecce Hiroshima	Draw	Shonan Bellmare
1-0 @ 12.84% ( -0.25) 2-0 @ 11.56% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.19) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.08) 5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.06) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.88% Total : 60.12%	1-1 @ 10.78% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 4.08% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.75% Total : 22.75%	0-1 @ 5.99% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 17.12%