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[monks data]
Kilmarnock logo
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 22
Jan 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Rugby Park
St Mirren logo

Kilmarnock
1 - 1
St Mirren

Whitehall (12')
Mulumbu (23'), McGowan (89'), Rogers (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Rogers (90' og.)
McAllister (71'), Doyle-Hayes (90+3')

Preview: Kilmarnock vs. St Mirren - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Kilmarnock entertain St Mirren on Saturday afternoon after the hosts ended a run of five straight defeats last time out.

Building on that result will be a tough ask for Killie, though, as they face a St Mirren side currently enjoying a good run of form.


Match preview

Kilmarnock manager Alex Dyer pictured on August 22, 2020© Reuters

A 2-0 win over 10-man Motherwell in midweek saw Alex Dyer's side pick up their first three points since late November.

It was also the first time the Ayrshire outfit had scored more than one goal in a match since that victory over Ross County last month.

The return to goalscoring form in recent weeks will please the Rugby Park faithful and restore belief that Dyer's men have enough to beat the drop after moving four points clear of the relegation playoff place.

Saturday's encounter will pit the best attack against the best defence in the bottom half of the Scottish Premiership.

Killie have bagged 21 goals so far, while St Mirren have conceded the same figure meaning this clash should be an intriguing affair.

Wednesday's 2-0 loss to league leaders Rangers put an end to Jim Goodwin's side's three-game winning streak.

Just two losses in their last 14 games in all competitions have seen the Buddies rise to seventh in the league table and book a place in the League Cup semi-finals.

While Goodwin's charges are adept at keeping it tight at the back, they often struggle to put the ball in the back of the net.

Fourteen goals scored in their 18 top flight fixtures means St Mirren have the second-worst goalscoring record in the division.

Finding a balance between defence and attack will be crucial to the Paisley outfits chances over the weekend.

Kilmarnock Scottish Premiership form: LLLLLW

St Mirren Scottish Premiership form: DWWLWL
St Mirren form (all competitions): WWWLWL


Team News

St Mirren manager Jim Goodwin pictured in August 2020© Reuters

Kilmarnock's Gary Dicker is unavailable due to a knock, while Zeno Rossi is also struggling with a knee problem. The pair are not far away from returning to action but are expected to remain on the sidelines until the new year.

Long-term absentee Ross Millen is keeping them company on the treatment table with the full-back nursing his own knee injury.

Dyer is unlikely to make any changes from the impressive win over Motherwell, meaning Danny Whitehall will start up-front again after bagging his first goal of the season against the Well.

Goodwin has no injury concerns coming into this one, with his main decision being who leads the line in attack.
Jonathan Obika is without a goal in his last three outings, while Kristian Dennis scored in the recent win over Ross County.

Kilmarnock possible starting lineup:
Rogers; McGowan, Broadfoot, Findlay, Waters; Power, Tshibola; McKenzie, Kiltie, Pinnock; Whitehall

St Mirren possible starting lineup:
Alnwick; Fraser, Shaughnessy, McCarthy, Tait; McAllister, Erhahon, Doyle-Hayes, McGrath, Mason; Dennis


SM words green background

We say: Kilmarnock 1-2 St Mirren

Although Kilmarnock will be confident coming into this one after ending their poor run of form last time out, St Mirren have been impressive for a while now, and they will want to get back to winning ways themselves.

Their tight defence should be enough to see them over the line at Rugby Park, but it will be a closely fought contest.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 36.94%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.37%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Kilmarnock vs St Mirren

Kilmarnock
57.9%
Draw
15.8%
St Mirren
26.3%
19
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