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NEC
KNVB Beker | Quarter-Finals
Feb 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Goffertstadion
ADO Den Haag

Nijmegen
3 - 0
ADO Den Haag

Ogawa (2'), Proper (61'), Chery (67')
Hansen (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Che (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's KNVB Beker clash between NEC and ADO Den Haag, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nijmegen 3-1 Heracles
Saturday, February 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Oss 1-3 ADO Den Haag
Friday, February 2 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

We said: NEC 2-1 ADO Den Haag

Given the free-scoring nature of the teams leading up to this one, we are expecting a highly-entertaining clash with chances at both ends. That said, we just about tip NEC to get the job done at the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 48.91%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6%) and 1-0 (5.92%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that NEC would win this match.

Result
NECDrawADO Den Haag
48.91% (0.617 0.62) 21.61% (-0.144 -0.14) 29.48% (-0.467 -0.47)
Both teams to score 67.56% (0.226 0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.28% (0.42400000000001 0.42)31.72% (-0.419 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.77% (0.496 0.5)53.23% (-0.491 -0.49)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.46% (0.357 0.36)13.54% (-0.351 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.38% (0.70500000000001 0.71)40.62% (-0.698 -0.7)
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.14% (-0.055999999999997 -0.06)21.86% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.91% (-0.089999999999996 -0.09)55.09% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Score Analysis
    NEC 48.91%
    ADO Den Haag 29.48%
    Draw 21.61%
NECDrawADO Den Haag
2-1 @ 9% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 6% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.92% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-0 @ 5.92% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.56% (0.056 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.94% (0.062 0.06)
4-1 @ 3% (0.08 0.08)
4-2 @ 2.28% (0.057 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.056 0.06)
5-1 @ 1.2% (0.046 0.05)
4-3 @ 1.16% (0.027 0.03)
5-2 @ 0.91% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 48.91%
1-1 @ 9% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.84% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.96% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-3 @ 2.31% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 21.61%
1-2 @ 6.84% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.5% (-0.112 -0.11)
1-3 @ 3.47% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 3.47% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.092 -0.09)
0-3 @ 1.74% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-4 @ 1.32% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 29.48%

How you voted: Nijmegen vs ADO Den Haag

NEC
72.6%
Draw
11.3%
ADO Den Haag
16.1%
62
Head to Head
Mar 11, 2017 5.30pm
ADO Den Haag
1-0
Nijmegen
Havenaar (72')
Bakker (25'), Malone (59'), Ebuehi (63'), Zwinkels (90')

Breinburg (43'), Kadioglu (79'), Rayhi (93')
Dec 10, 2016 5.30pm
Mar 20, 2016 1.30pm
Oct 3, 2015 5.30pm
Nijmegen
4-1
ADO Den Haag
Meijers (1' og.), Santos (63', 79'), Limbombe (76')
Santos (36')
Wormgoor (21')
rhs 2.0
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