La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 9

Oct 15, 2022 at 8pm UK

San Mamés Barria

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Atletico

FT(HT: 0-0)

Griezmann (47')
Simeone (11'), Gimenez (36'), Morata (57'), Oblak (68'), Niguez (85'), Witsel (90+2'), Grbic (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Saturday, October 8 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Brugge
Wednesday, October 12 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Atletico Madrid

Athletic will certainly be the fresher of the two sides on Saturday, and their form this season has been very impressive. Atletico are always difficult to back against due to their mentality, though, and we have a feeling that a tight match at San Mames will end in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.39%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
42.65% ( 0.07)	28.35% ( 0)	29.01% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 45.13% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.22% (

-0.03)

60.77% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.17% (

-0.02)

80.82% (

0.02)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.79% (

0.02)

28.21% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.09% (

0.03)

63.91% (

-0.03)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86% (

-0.07)

37.13% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.07% (

-0.07)

73.92% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 42.64%

Atletico Madrid 29%

Draw 28.34%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 13.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 1.68% Total : 42.64%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 10.37% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) Other @ 1.78% Total : 29%