La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 17

Dec 11, 2021 at 8pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Sevilla

Lekue (52'), Garcia (62'), Vencedor (65'), Martinez (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Delaney (38')
Fernando (73'), Rekik (88'), Kounde (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Sevilla

This is a very tough match for Sevilla off the back of a European fixture, and we are struggling to back the visitors to triumph this weekend. Athletic have drawn nine of their 16 league matches this season, losing just three times, and we are predicting another stalemate for the Basque outfit here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 45.48%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 27.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.89%) and 1-2 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sevilla in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Sevilla
27.07%	27.45%	45.48%

Both teams to score 46.44%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.45%

58.55%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.88%

79.12%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.5%

37.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.72%

74.27%

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.3%

25.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.38%

60.61%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 27.07%

Sevilla 45.48%

Draw 27.45%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.45% 2-1 @ 6.3% 2-0 @ 4.64% 3-1 @ 2.06% 3-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.4% Other @ 1.71% Total : 27.07%	1-1 @ 12.84% 0-0 @ 9.64% 2-2 @ 4.28% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.45%	0-1 @ 13.09% 0-2 @ 8.89% 1-2 @ 8.73% 0-3 @ 4.03% 1-3 @ 3.95% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-4 @ 1.37% 1-4 @ 1.34% Other @ 2.14% Total : 45.48%