La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 26

Feb 26, 2022 at 8pm UK

Vicente Calderon Stadium

Atletico
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Lodi (36', 60')
Savic (12'), Gimenez (15'), Oblak (20'), Mandava (50')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aspas (17'), Araujo (71'), Galhardo (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Atletico Madrid and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Celta Vigo

Celta are more than capable of finding the back of the net in this match, with Atletico far from watertight at the back this season, but the home side were impressive against Man United for long spells, which should give them the confidence to claim another three points on Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 57.95%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.32%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
57.95%	24.22%	17.82%

Both teams to score 44.58%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.63%

55.37%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.43%

76.57%

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.04%

18.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.51%

50.48%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.01%

44.99%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.08%

80.92%

Score Analysis

Atletico Madrid 57.95%

Celta Vigo 17.82%

Draw 24.21%

Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 14.18% 2-0 @ 11.79% 2-1 @ 9.42% 3-0 @ 6.54% 3-1 @ 5.22% 4-0 @ 2.72% 4-1 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 2.09% 5-0 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.92% Total : 57.95%	1-1 @ 11.32% 0-0 @ 8.53% 2-2 @ 3.76% Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.21%	0-1 @ 6.81% 1-2 @ 4.53% 0-2 @ 2.72% 1-3 @ 1.21% 2-3 @ 1% Other @ 1.56% Total : 17.82%