La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Apr 10, 2023 at 8pm UK

Spotify Camp Nou

Barcelona
0 - 0
Girona

Castellanos (32'), Stuani (77')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Barcelona

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Barcelona 0-4 Real Madrid
Wednesday, April 5 at 8pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 2-1 Espanyol
Saturday, April 1 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barcelona will have been wounded by their loss to Real Madrid, so this is arguably the worst possible time to play them. Girona have the quality to cause problems at Camp Nou, but we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a routine home success in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 70.08%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Girona had a probability of 12.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Girona win it was 1-2 (3.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Barcelona	Draw	Girona
70.08% ( -0.53)	17.37% ( 0.27)	12.55% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 53.92% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.61% (

-0.61)

36.39% (

0.62)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.48% (

-0.67)

58.52% (

0.68)

Barcelona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.7% (

-0.28)

9.3% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.61% (

-0.67)

31.39% (

0.67)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.45% (

40.55% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.85% (

77.15% (

Score Analysis

Barcelona 70.07%

Girona 12.55%

Draw 17.37%

Barcelona	Draw	Girona
2-0 @ 10.63% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 8.42% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 5% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.45% Total : 70.07%	1-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.37%	1-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.56% Total : 12.55%