La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 23

Feb 26, 2023 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo
3 - 0
Valladolid

Seferovic (17'), Veiga (32', 64')
Oscar (66')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Monchu (30'), Perez (38'), Sanchez (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Valladolid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Last Game: Real Sociedad 1-1 Celta Vigo
Saturday, February 18 at 1pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Real Valladolid

All competitions

Last Game: Betis 2-1 Valladolid
Saturday, February 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Valladolid

This is a really difficult match to call, as there is not a lot between the two teams. The fact that four of their last five La Liga meetings have ended in draws is difficult to ignore, and we are finding it tough to back anything other than another stalemate in Sunday's contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.31%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.

Result
Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Valladolid
45.88% ( 1.35)	25.97% ( -0.3)	28.15% ( -1.05)

Both teams to score 51.44% (

0.28)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.54% (

0.67)

52.45% (

-0.67)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.87% (

0.57)

74.13% (

-0.57)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.18% (

0.93)

22.82% (

-0.93)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.46% (

1.35)

56.54% (

-1.35)

Real Valladolid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65% (

-0.44)

33.34% (

0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.03% (

-0.49)

69.96% (

0.49)

Score Analysis

Celta Vigo 45.87%

Real Valladolid 28.15%

Draw 25.96%

Celta Vigo	Draw	Real Valladolid
1-0 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.23) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( 0.08) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.08% Total : 45.87%	1-1 @ 12.34% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 7.61% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.9% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.96%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.16) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.43% Total : 28.15%