La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 28

Mar 14, 2022 at 8pm UK

Iberostar Stadium

Mallorca
0 - 3
Real Madrid

Rodriguez (30'), Raillo (69'), Maffeo (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Junior (55'), Benzema (77' pen., 82')
Valverde (17'), Junior (30'), Vazquez (52'), Ancelotti (55')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Mallorca

Last Six:

Last Game: Osasuna 0-2 Mallorca
Sunday, May 22 at 7pm in La Liga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Cadiz	38	-16	39
17	Mallorca	38	-27	39
18	Granada	38	-17	38

Real Madrid

Last Six:

Last Game: Liverpool 0-1 Real Madrid
Saturday, May 28 at 8.36pm in Champions League

Next Game: Real Madrid vs. Frankfurt
Wednesday, August 10 at 8pm in UEFA Super Cup

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Real Madrid	38	49	86
2	Barcelona	38	30	73
3	Atletico Madrid	38	22	71

We said: Mallorca 1-3 Real Madrid

Mallorca are capable of making this an uncomfortable match for Real Madrid, but we are finding it incredibly difficult to back anything other than an away success. Los Blancos will be full of confidence following their win over PSG and should have too much quality for their opponents on Monday night. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.78%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Mallorca win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Mallorca	Draw	Real Madrid
15.48%	21.73%	62.78%

Both teams to score 47.07%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.51%

49.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.47%

71.53%

Mallorca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.49%

44.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.46%

80.54%

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.82%

15.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.2%

43.8%

Score Analysis

Mallorca 15.48%

Real Madrid 62.77%

Draw 21.73%

Mallorca	Draw	Real Madrid
1-0 @ 5.47% 2-1 @ 4.17% 2-0 @ 2.21% 3-1 @ 1.13% 3-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.44% Total : 15.48%	1-1 @ 10.31% 0-0 @ 6.76% 2-2 @ 3.93% Other @ 0.74% Total : 21.73%	0-1 @ 12.73% 0-2 @ 12% 1-2 @ 9.72% 0-3 @ 7.55% 1-3 @ 6.11% 0-4 @ 3.56% 1-4 @ 2.88% 2-3 @ 2.47% 0-5 @ 1.34% 2-4 @ 1.17% 1-5 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.17% Total : 62.77%