La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 12

Oct 30, 2022 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid
1 - 1
Girona

Junior (70')
Kroos (55'), Modric (75')
Kroos (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Stuani (80' pen.)
Lopez (51'), Gazzaniga (59'), Martinez (90+4')

Real Madrid return to top of La Liga despite being held by Girona

Real Madrid reclaim first position in the La Liga table despite being held to a 1-1 draw by an impressive Girona at Bernabeu.

Oct 30, 18:27

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: RB Leipzig 3-2 Real Madrid
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Girona

All competitions

Last Game: Girona 1-1 Osasuna
Sunday, October 23 at 5.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Real Madrid 3-0 Girona

Girona certainly know what it takes to beat Real Madrid, but we are finding it very difficult to back the visitors to pick up a positive result in this contest. Ancelotti's side will be fired up to recover from their first loss of the 2022-23 campaign, and we are expecting it to be a comfortable match for the champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 73.56%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Girona had a probability of 9.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.15%) and 3-0 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (3.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.

Result
Real Madrid	Draw	Girona
73.56% ( -0.49)	16.72% ( 0.25)	9.72% ( 0.24)

Both teams to score 45.99% (

0.1)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.49% (

-0.39)

41.51% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.09% (

-0.4)

63.91% (

0.4)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.2% (

-0.22)

9.79% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.45% (

-0.51)

32.55% (

0.51)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.98% (

0.24)

49.02% (

-0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.03% (

0.17)

83.97% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Real Madrid 73.54%

Girona 9.72%

Draw 16.72%

Real Madrid	Draw	Girona
2-0 @ 12.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 4.16% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.31% Total : 73.54%	1-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.12) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.67% Total : 16.72%	0-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.24% Total : 9.72%