Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 49.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Osasuna |
49.8% ( -1.83) | 26.34% ( 0.48) | 23.86% ( 1.35) |
Both teams to score 46.83% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.3% ( -0.6) | 56.7% ( 0.6) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.34% ( -0.48) | 77.66% ( 0.48) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.15% ( -1.05) | 22.85% ( 1.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.42% ( -1.58) | 56.57% ( 1.58) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.69% ( 0.96) | 39.3% ( -0.96) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.99% ( 0.88) | 76.01% ( -0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Osasuna |
1-0 @ 13.25% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( -0.39) 2-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( -0.36) 3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 1.66% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.76% Total : 49.79% | 1-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.39% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.12) Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |