La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 24

Feb 20, 2021 at 5.30pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
2 - 0
Celta Vigo

Vallejo (90+4'), Gameiro (90+8')
Kang-in (56'), Gaya (62')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Nolito (14'), Mina (31'), Tapia (53')
Blanco (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Celta Vigo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.93%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
38.75%	27.05%	34.21%

Both teams to score 50.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.3%

54.7%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.98%

76.02%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.51%

27.49%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.01%

62.99%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.77%

30.24%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.6%

66.4%

Score Analysis

Valencia 38.75%

Celta Vigo 34.21%

Draw 27.04%

Valencia	Draw	Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.73% 2-1 @ 8.29% 2-0 @ 6.93% 3-1 @ 3.57% 3-0 @ 2.98% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 2% Total : 38.75%	1-1 @ 12.83% 0-0 @ 8.31% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.04%	0-1 @ 9.94% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.95% 1-3 @ 3.06% 0-3 @ 2.37% 2-3 @ 1.98% 1-4 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.31% Total : 34.21%