La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Nov 27, 2021 at 3.15pm UK

Mestalla

Valencia
1 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Soler (19' pen.)
Soler (27'), Diakhaby (45'), Alderete (45+2'), Gaya (55'), Foulquier (62'), Wass (68')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Isi (64')
Saveljich (18'), Comesana (54'), Isi (55'), Catena (73'), Valentin (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Valencia 1-1 Rayo Vallecano

Both teams will feel that they are more than capable of claiming all three points from this fixture as they aim to climb further up the La Liga table. However, with little to separate these two top-10 sides, a score draw could be on the cards at the Mestalla. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Valencia	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
45.51%	26.69%	27.8%

Both teams to score 49.05%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.55%

55.45%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.36%

76.64%

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.7%

24.3%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.33%

58.67%

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.79%

35.21%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.03%

71.96%

Score Analysis

Valencia 45.5%

Rayo Vallecano 27.8%

Draw 26.69%

Valencia	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.1% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 8.56% 3-1 @ 4.22% 3-0 @ 4.04% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-1 @ 1.49% 4-0 @ 1.43% Other @ 2.53% Total : 45.5%	1-1 @ 12.63% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.67% Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.69%	0-1 @ 8.93% 1-2 @ 6.59% 0-2 @ 4.66% 1-3 @ 2.29% 2-3 @ 1.62% 0-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 2.08% Total : 27.8%