League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 13

May 1, 2023 at 7.15pm UK

Brandywell Stadium

Derry
0 - 2
Shamrock

McJannett (53'), Doherty (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Towell (30'), Byrne (45+1')
Byrne (41'), Clarke (52'), Towell (70'), Finn (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Derry 2-0 St Patrick's
Friday, April 28 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Shamrock 2-1 Sligo
Friday, April 28 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 40.73%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
40.73% ( 0.57)	28.07% ( 0.05)	31.2% ( -0.61)

Both teams to score 46.8% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.88% (

-0.33)

59.12% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.44% (

-0.26)

79.56% (

0.26)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.52% (

0.16)

28.48% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.75% (

0.2)

64.25% (

-0.2)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.43% (

-0.62)

34.57% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.71% (

-0.66)

71.29% (

0.67)

Score Analysis

Derry City 40.73%

Shamrock Rovers 31.2%

Draw 28.06%

Derry City	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 12.36% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.25% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.71% Total : 40.73%	1-1 @ 13.13% 0-0 @ 9.84% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.06%	0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.23% Total : 31.2%