League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 3

Mar 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Oriel Park

Dundalk
5 - 0
St Patrick's

Hoban (5'), Annesley (15'), Tulloch (51'), Kelly (53'), Malley (84')
Tulloch (44'), Kelly (54')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Curtis (44'), Kreida (55'), Doyle (56'), Forrester (90+1')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions

Last Game: Bohemians 2-1 Dundalk
Friday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: St Patrick's 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 53.07%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 21.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.52%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
53.07% ( 0.54)	25.2% ( -0.12)	21.73% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 47.61% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.56% (

0.02)

54.44% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.19% (

0.01)

75.81% (

-0.01)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.48% (

0.23)

20.52% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.99% (

0.36)

53.01% (

-0.37)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.89% (

-0.42)

40.1% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.25% (

-0.39)

76.74% (

0.39)

Score Analysis

Dundalk 53.06%

St Patrick's Athletic 21.73%

Draw 25.2%

Dundalk	Draw	St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 5.45% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.28% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 53.06%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 8.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.76% Total : 25.2%	0-1 @ 7.52% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 5.44% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.32% Total : 21.73%