League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 23

Jul 7, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

UCD
1 - 3
Bohemians

Lonergan (30')
Todd (44'), Higgins (77'), Ryan (87')
Todd (81')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Flores (37'), Burt (45+1'), Devoy (90' pen.)
Flores (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League of Ireland Premier clash between University College Dublin and Bohemians, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: University College Dublin 0-2 Bohemians

Bohemians are without a victory in their previous two games, but coming up against University Of Dublin is likely the ideal situation for them considering their league position and form. The hosts have not won a single game at home this season, and that is unlikely to change now against one of the stronger squads in the division. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 62.18%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 15.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.77%) and 1-2 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bohemians would win this match.

Result
University College Dublin	Draw	Bohemians
15.07% ( 0.25)	22.74% ( 0.82)	62.18% ( -1.08)

Both teams to score 43.31% (

-1.74)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.92% (

-2.68)

54.08% (

2.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.49% (

-2.29)

75.51% (

2.29)

University College Dublin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.15% (

-1.26)

47.85% (

1.26)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.88% (

-0.95)

83.12% (

0.95)

Bohemians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.04% (

-1.29)

16.96% (

1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.95% (

-2.34)

47.04% (

2.34)

Score Analysis

University College Dublin 15.07%

Bohemians 62.17%

Draw 22.74%

University College Dublin	Draw	Bohemians
1-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 3.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.2% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.02% Total : 15.07%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.82) 2-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.55% Total : 22.74%	0-1 @ 14.39% ( 0.87) 0-2 @ 12.77% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 9.42% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 7.56% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 5.57% ( -0.35) 0-4 @ 3.35% ( -0.24) 1-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0.21) 0-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.49% Total : 62.17%