League One

League One | Gameweek 4

Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK

Reebok Stadium

Bolton
2 - 1
Oxford Utd

Afolayan (45'), Doyle (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taylor (11')
Taylor (39'), McGuane (85'), Forde (90+2')

Coverage of the League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Oxford United.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Oxford United
28.34%	25.38%	46.28%

Both teams to score 53.39%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.02%

49.97%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.04%

71.96%

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.1%

31.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.65%

68.35%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.4%

21.6%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.3%

54.7%

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 28.34%

Oxford United 46.28%

Draw 25.38%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 7.87% 2-1 @ 6.89% 2-0 @ 4.5% 3-1 @ 2.63% 3-2 @ 2.01% 3-0 @ 1.71% Other @ 2.73% Total : 28.34%	1-1 @ 12.06% 0-0 @ 6.89% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.38%	0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 9.25% 0-2 @ 8.09% 1-3 @ 4.72% 0-3 @ 4.13% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.81% 0-4 @ 1.58% 2-4 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.4% Total : 46.28%