League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 3
Barnsley

Powell (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

McAtee (54', 64'), Connell (69')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 1-1 Burton Albion
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 0-2 Cambridge
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 1-2 Barnsley

Burton's recent form has been extremely poor, and they have only managed to triumph in six of their 19 home league matches this season. Barnsley are the second-best side on the road and are currently on a three-match winning run away from home. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.91%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 1-0 (6.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Barnsley
20.55% ( -0.29)	22.95% ( 0.33)	56.51% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 52.73% (

-1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.2% (

-1.78)

46.8% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.94% (

-1.69)

69.06% (

1.69)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.05% (

-1.3)

36.96% (

1.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.26% (

-1.32)

73.74% (

1.32)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.65% (

-0.64)

16.35% (

0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.03% (

-1.16)

45.97% (

1.17)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 20.55%

Barnsley 56.5%

Draw 22.95%

Burton Albion	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.42% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 3% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.8% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( -0.13) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.69% Total : 20.55%	1-1 @ 10.89% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( 0.44) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.19) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 10.94% ( 0.58) 0-2 @ 9.91% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.98% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.15) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.18) 0-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( -0.13) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.12) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.5%