League One

League One | Gameweek 14

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
4 - 1
Bristol Rovers

Lubala (26', 43'), Powell (81'), Baah (84')
Moon (18'), Crocombe (70'), Helm (88')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Evans (7')
Bogarde (90+2')
Woods (64')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League One clash between Burton Albion and Bristol Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Burton Albion
Saturday, October 14 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, October 7 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 38.32%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.21%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Bristol Rovers
36.25% ( 0)	25.44% ( -0)	38.32% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.17% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.31% (

0.01)

47.69% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.11% (

0.01)

69.89% (

-0.01)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.38% (

25.62% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.49% (

0.01)

60.51% (

-0.01)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.52% (

0.01)

24.49% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.06% (

0.01)

58.94% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 36.25%

Bristol Rovers 38.32%

Draw 25.44%

Burton Albion	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 8.54% ( -0) 2-1 @ 8.18% 2-0 @ 5.82% 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.64% 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 36.25%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.27% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44%	0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.46% 0-2 @ 6.21% 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.91% 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.4% 0-4 @ 1.03% 2-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.87% Total : 38.32%