League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 22, 2022 at 3pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Adeboyejo (77')
Taylor (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Perry (68'), Jackson (90+5')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 4-0 Bradford
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-2 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 18 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Burton Albion 2-0 Cheltenham Town

With the Cheltenham defence being easy to break down in their previous two fixtures, it is likely that Burton will find a way through and with the better form coming into this game, we would expect them to take the three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.85%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burton Albion in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burton Albion.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Cheltenham Town
49.85% ( 0.03)	24.8% ( -0)	25.35% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 52.79% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.39% (

-0.02)

49.6% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.37% (

-0.02)

71.62% (

0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.08% (

19.92% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.94% (

0.01)

52.05% (

-0.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.92% (

-0.04)

34.08% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.24% (

-0.04)

70.76% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 49.84%

Cheltenham Town 25.35%

Draw 24.79%

Burton Albion	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.84% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.92% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 49.84%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.79%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.35%