League One

League One | Gameweek 1

Aug 5, 2023 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 1
Fleetwood

Moxon (36')
Huntington (4'), Mellish (45+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Wiredu (45+4')
Brown (5'), Nsiala (73'), Earl (85'), Rooney (90+6')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-1 Stockport (5-4 pen.)
Sunday, May 28 at 1.30pm in League Two

Goals
for

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, July 25 at 7pm in Club Friendlies 1

Goals
for

We said: Carlisle United 1-1 Fleetwood Town

The loss of top scorer Kristian Dennis could leave Carlisle without their shooting boots for the first few games of the season, while Fleetwood will not want a repeat of last season and endure an opening-day defeat. Therefore, we think the sides will approach this game with caution, and they will cancel each other out. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 41.5%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
41.5% ( -1.38)	27.53% ( 0.2)	30.97% ( 1.17)

Both teams to score 48.24% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.74% (

-0.35)

57.26% (

0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.9% (

-0.28)

78.1% (

0.28)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.83% (

-0.9)

27.17% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.43% (

-1.18)

62.57% (

1.18)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.24% (

0.68)

33.76% (

-0.68)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.58% (

0.73)

70.42% (

-0.73)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 41.5%

Fleetwood Town 30.97%

Draw 27.52%

Carlisle United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.95% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.16) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.38% ( -0.22) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.96% Total : 41.5%	1-1 @ 12.97% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.52%	0-1 @ 9.96% ( 0.32) 1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 0.27) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.38% Total : 30.97%