League One | Gameweek 29
Apr 9, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
We said: Cheltenham Town 1-0 Carlisle United
There is simply no downplaying the importance of this match for Cheltenham, and anything less than a victory will go down as a hugely disappointing result. We are expecting a tight game on Tuesday but are backing Cheltenham to navigate their way to an important three points.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02% . A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4% .
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%) . The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%) . The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood .
Result Cheltenham Town Draw Carlisle United 46.02% ( 0) 26.45% ( -0) 27.53% ( -0)
Both teams to score 49.59% ( 0)
45.34% ( 0.01) 54.66% ( -0.01)
24.01% ( 0.01) 75.99% ( -0.01)
76.29% ( 0.01) 23.7% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 42.17% ( 0.01) 57.83% ( -0.01)
65% ( 0) 35% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 28.25% ( 0) 71.74% ( -0)
Cheltenham Town 46.01%
Carlisle United 27.53%
Draw 26.44%
Cheltenham Town Draw Carlisle United 1-0 @ 11.94% 2-1 @ 9.02% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.6% 3-1 @ 4.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.12% 3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.56% 4-0 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.69% Total : 46.01% 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 8.3% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.44% 0-1 @ 8.71% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.58% 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.3% 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 2.11% Total : 27.53%
How you voted: Cheltenham vs Carlisle
Cheltenham Town
Draw
Carlisle United
16
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 10:00:33
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