League One

League One | Gameweek 3

Sep 26, 2020 at 3pm UK

Alexandra Stadium

Crewe
2 - 0
MK Dons

Mandron (13'), Finney (20')
Finney (56')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Gladwin (37'), Houghton (57'), Fraser (65'), Morris (90+4')

Coverage of the League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and MK Dons.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 47.69%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.43%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (6.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	MK Dons
47.69%	24.37%	27.93%

Both teams to score 56.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.11%

45.89%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.79%

68.2%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66%

19.33%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.89%

51.11%

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.91%

30.09%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.78%

66.22%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 47.69%

MK Dons 27.93%

Draw 24.37%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 9.56% 2-1 @ 9.43% 2-0 @ 7.85% 3-1 @ 5.17% 3-0 @ 4.3% 3-2 @ 3.1% 4-1 @ 2.12% 4-0 @ 1.77% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.69%	1-1 @ 11.48% 0-0 @ 5.82% 2-2 @ 5.67% 3-3 @ 1.24% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.37%	0-1 @ 6.99% 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 4.2% 1-3 @ 2.76% 2-3 @ 2.27% 0-3 @ 1.68% Other @ 3.15% Total : 27.93%