League One

League One | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2022 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 0
Portsmouth

Stansfield (31'), Sparkes (79'), Collins (90+2')

Dale (40'), Morrison (58'), Morrell (84')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Exeter City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Exeter
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-2 MK Dons
Saturday, December 17 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Exeter City 1-1 Portsmouth

Two of Exeter's last three games have ended all square, while Pompey have drawn four of their previous six matches, and we think that the two sides will have to settle for a share of the spoils when they go head-to-head on Monday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Portsmouth
31.98% ( 0.01)	26.57% ( 0.01)	41.45% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.72% (

-0.06)

53.28% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.17% (

-0.05)

74.83% (

0.05)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

-0.02)

30.99% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7% (

-0.03)

67.3% (

0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.63% (

-0.04)

25.36% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.84% (

-0.05)

60.16% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 31.98%

Portsmouth 41.44%

Draw 26.57%

Exeter City	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.4% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0) Other @ 3% Total : 31.98%	1-1 @ 12.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.08% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 10.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.4% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.96% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.38% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 41.44%