League One

League One | Gameweek 17

Nov 11, 2023 at 3pm UK

Highbury Stadium

Fleetwood
3 - 0
Exeter

Broom (6'), Wiredu (32'), Patterson (42')
Omochere (66'), Broom (73')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Wildschut (65'), Diabate (75')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Fleetwood 4-0 Leicester U21s
Tuesday, November 7 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 0-2 Wigan
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in FA Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fleetwood Town 2-1 Exeter City

Fleetwood are gaining momentum under Lee Johnson having seemingly turned a corner, while Exeter are devoid of any confidence given their poor recent run, and we envisage the hosts coming out on top this weekend and closing the gap between the two sides with differing trajectories to just a single point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 29.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.65%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood Town	Draw	Exeter City
46.29% ( -0.38)	24.67% ( 0.12)	29.04% ( 0.26)

Both teams to score 56.18% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.47% (

-0.39)

46.53% (

0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.2% (

-0.37)

68.8% (

0.36)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.82% (

-0.32)

20.18% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.52% (

-0.51)

52.48% (

0.51)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

-0.02)

29.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.35% (

-0.02)

65.65% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Fleetwood Town 46.29%

Exeter City 29.04%

Draw 24.66%

Fleetwood Town	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.56% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 7.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 4.08% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.85% Total : 46.29%	1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.66%	0-1 @ 7.27% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.08% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.29% Total : 29.04%