League One

League One | Gameweek 46

May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
1 - 0
Shrewsbury

Virtue (72')
O'Connor (26'), Erhahon (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Flanagan (90')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 2-1 Bristol Rovers
Tuesday, May 2 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lincoln City 1-1 Shrewsbury Town

Lincoln will be looking to end their campaign on a high note, and they will be confident of doing that against a Shrewsbury side who also have nothing tangible to play for. The visitors ended a poor run of form last time out, but we cannot imagine Cotterill's side earning a final-day victory in this one - albeit a point could be likely. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.24%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 24.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.49%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
49.24% ( -0.04)	26.16% ( 0.02)	24.61% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.05% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.52% (

-0.04)

55.48% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.33% (

-0.03)

76.67% (

0.03)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.42% (

-0.03)

22.58% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.82% (

-0.05)

56.18% (

0.05)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.06% (

0.01)

37.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.29% (

0.01)

74.71% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 49.23%

Shrewsbury Town 24.61%

Draw 26.15%

Lincoln City	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 12.74% 2-0 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.89% Total : 49.23%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.46% ( -0) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.15%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.44% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 24.61%