League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Sep 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK

Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
5 - 1
Accrington

Holland (18', 24'), Taylor (50'), Sykes (71'), Nottingham (90+4' og.)
Seddon (56'), Kane (79'), Moore (81'), Williams (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hamilton (61')
Sykes (45+3'), McConville (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Oxford United and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 55.07%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 21.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.13%), while for an Accrington Stanley win it was 0-1 (6.32%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
55.07%	23.44%	21.49%

Both teams to score 52.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.28%

47.72%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.09%

69.91%

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81%

17.19%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54%

47.46%

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.46%

36.54%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.68%

73.32%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 55.06%

Accrington Stanley 21.49%

Draw 23.44%

Oxford United	Draw	Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 11.05% 2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 9.74% 3-1 @ 5.75% 3-0 @ 5.72% 3-2 @ 2.9% 4-1 @ 2.53% 4-0 @ 2.52% 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.78% Total : 55.06%	1-1 @ 11.13% 0-0 @ 6.28% 2-2 @ 4.94% 3-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.44%	0-1 @ 6.32% 1-2 @ 5.61% 0-2 @ 3.18% 1-3 @ 1.88% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.49%